Reaffirming my forecast.

The question is stated as delivery of a "S-300 or S-400 missile system." A "system" requires all the major operational components to be delivered (search radar, targeting radar, missile launcher, command post, etc.). Regarding hiding the system, while I agree that generally you don't want to give away the exact location of your military assets, it is important to credibly signal your enemies if you expect to deter them. Most of the Iranian comments to this point are probably inward directed, to create a sense of strength in the aftermath of the nuclear deal with the West. Outward directed statements (to Israel) will come when the system is actually functioning.

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username-deleted 688
made a comment:

I believe, without a shred of evidence, that the Oct 10 and following Iranian missile tests that get them in a wrist-slap with the UN, where the un-named US intelligence source says there was indeed an ICBM rocket launch, and "other" launches, that the Russians had already delivered an S-300/S-400 battery, that when they launched rockets from their Caspian sea naval vessels and undisclosed sources claimed one or more of those missiles crash landed in Iran, which Iran denied, and which dropped off the screen, that that was the testing of the new delivery, no Fed-X required since 20+ cargo plane loads from Iran to Syria were being delivered daily and the S-300/S-400 delivery could have been brought from theater, from naval group, from Russia, from Eastern Territory, all of which had the same, plus Arctic in recent days, i.e. the period of this question. Therefore the paperwork, lawsuit, factory order, retrofit jumbled mess was subterfuge, the missiles are in place, along with other batteries Iran has bought over the years from eastern bloc sources, and to think otherwise would be to fly, launch, attack, invade to one's own peril. This will never be substantiated, the question should resolve as NO, my score will take the hit, but I would not overfly sensitive areas in Iran without the Israeli intelligence counter S-300/ S-400 tactics memorized. Best wishes :)

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Heffalump
made a comment:

@000: If you are referring to "if they try", then yes, agreed. Advanced is for Advanced. However, for the way it is now, a) any script kiddie can do it and b) we can collectively make our activity less annoying if instead of each of us doing it individually, and therefore redundantly/simultaneously, we limit that load to one of us and then share. So tonight is my night, tomorrow is yours, etc., or we could be hitting different parts of the db (e.g. I do users 1..7000, you do 7001..14000, and Sally, over there does 14001..14239 (as of a moment ago)). With 77,690 comments, it would also potentially save them from the attack of the n00bz since several of us already have pulled all of it...

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Inactive-102
made a comment:

@ravel, great comment, missiles could well be there now. This just highlights the absurdity of doing military intelligence at home for free without access to anything but press releases from interested parties.

@Heffalump, I love you, but you are a completely and carefully anonymous stranger living I don't know where, who is asking me to cooperate over the Internet on an activity which could be misinterpreted. Please just save your comment html scrapes to disk. Then you don't have to redownload all 77000 every night, and I won't have to worry about meeting Saul and Carrie in an overlit room. With cacheing you will only have to download a few hundred forecasts a night.

If you think being a stranger is not a concern, note that my GJ connected blog has attracted readers from 100 countries including most in scope for GJOpen military intelligence questions. It's all a lot of fun but I often worry about crossing some invisible line that I didn't see painted anywhere.

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Heffalump
made a comment:

@000 I think we both know that anyone who knows anything about how to do this isn't scraping the comments over and over, and I would hope that they aren't saving the html to disk when they have access to more appropriate tools. It's the user data that changes, and I haven't invested the effort into reverse-engineering the algorithms so that I don't have to do that, yet.
You are more than welcome to be as careful as you choose. I was only offering to split the work, but suit yourself. You, and everyone else, are more than welcome to my data. I was hoping to make the zookeepers a bit less anxious about our activities by reducing the load on the servers, but whatever. I have other things to do, too. Some of them are even interesting - like fingernail avulsions.

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Inactive-102
made a comment:

@Heffalump, I don't think the load of the 3.5 people who may be scraping is a material drag on their servers.

Also, far be it from me to deny GJ and Air America the intelligence value of observing who is scraping, just as I don't deny myself the pleasure of counting the number of visitor flags on my WordPress blog. If we combined efforts that would obscure those results.

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Heffalump
made a comment:

It's interesting that you think so few people could figure it out. Heck, you figured it out, and you're not even a girl...
Can I have level -1 now? What if I smile?

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Inactive-102
made a comment:

@Heffalump, it's not that I think only 3.5 people can figure out how to scrape web data, it's that I honestly think only 3.5 people actually care about this topic.

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Heffalump
made a comment:

@000: Don't you think that it's weird, though, that so large a proportion would be from the same cadre?

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Inactive-102
made a comment:

@Heffalump, you and I are from same кадровый состав. @cmeinel is not. That makes 3. @Khalid is not. I'm counting him as 0.25 because he doesn't program. @mparrault asked for code sharing on my blog. He's the other 0.25 and he's not in our кадровый состав. That makes 3.5 people that care, out of 13,000. The servers will survive. We are the only people that care about this, just as there are only a few people in the whole world that care about minimal regularity bounds in a perturbative framework. You may feel a wave of loneliness upon learning this fact. However, unless you are in fact this young lady: [1], you may find it hard to convince yourself or other people that any of this matters.

[1] http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pictures/2010/6/30/1277932549495/Anna-Chapman-006.jpg

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username-deleted 688
made a comment:

To me, the fact that the dung beetle actually uses constellations in the night sky to orient it's correct direction has more clues than any minimal perturbative framework boundary limitations. There are water molecules perpetually captured in buckyballs and not one scientist to the rescue! The nanoscopic fractal nature of the macro cosmos should make the ripples in space time themselves be adequate breadcrumbs to solution, for those permutations indicate usurpation of order springing from chaos, and true super forecasters can feel this trembling in the ephemeral web as clearly as church bells and air raid sirens! Stop rolling your balls of dung to deconstructed mnemonic thrills, the universe is crying out the answer and it lies yonder!

https://qph.is.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-d0a96160ffc926a719c6589f75d4cb5d?convert_to_webp=true

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