Will Russia officially lift any part of its food embargo on the United States, any or all of the European Union member states, Canada, Australia, Norway, Iceland, Albania, Montenegro or Liechtenstein before 6 August 2016?

Started Sep 01, 2015 11:28AM UTC
Closed Sep 17, 2015 06:59AM UTC

Russia imposed an embargo on food imports from the US, the EU, Canada, Australia, and Norway in August of 2014 as retaliation for western sanctions. In early August, Russia extended the embargo for another year (www.rt.com/business/269644-russia-food-embargo-extension ) and added Iceland, Albania, Montengro, and Liechtenstein to the list of embargoed countries (news.yahoo.com/russia-slaps-food-embargo-more-european-countries-150602238.html). The question refers to the the E.U. member states embargoed by Russia in 2014. If Russia lifts the embargo on any of them, the question will resolve as a yes regardless of their E.U. status when the embargo is lifted. Last updated 8 September 2015.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 25.00%
No 75.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 138
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 195
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.154
3.
-0.731
4.
-0.411

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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