Who will win the upcoming Philippine presidential election?

Started Feb 16, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 09, 2016 06:59AM UTC

Sign up and enter your own forecast, if you're here for The Economist's World in 2016 Challenge! The Philippines will hold presidential elections on 9 May 2016 (Commission on Elections). The current president, Benigno Aquino III, has been critical of China's territorial claims in the South China Sea, and the region will be watching these elections carefully to see what line the Philippines will take in this ongoing debate (The World in 2016). Recommended Questions Who will be the next mayor of London? Who will win the 2016 US presidential election? How many seats will United Russia win in September's Russian State Duma elections?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Jejomar Binay 0%
Miriam Defensor-Santiago 0%
Rodrigo Duterte 97%
Grace Poe 3%
Mar Roxas 0%
None of the above 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 221
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1008
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.879
2.
-0.877
3.
-0.769
5.
-0.418

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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