Which Republican presidential candidate will win the Ohio primary on 15 March?

Started Mar 04, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 16, 2016 12:00AM UTC
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Ted Cruz 1%
John Kasich 56%
Marco Rubio 0%
Donald Trump 43%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1464
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 2252
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.732982
2.
-0.731782
3.
-0.727982
4.
-0.689327
5.
-0.689327

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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