Which Republican presidential candidate will win the Florida primary on 15 March?

Started Mar 04, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 16, 2016 12:00AM UTC
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Ted Cruz 5%
Donald Trump 78%
John Kasich 0%
Marco Rubio 17%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1630
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 2381
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.307
2.
-0.307
3.
-0.307
4.
-0.307
5.
-0.307

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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