What will be the end-of-day closing value for the dollar against the renminbi on 30 September 2016?

Started Mar 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2016 05:00PM UTC

This question was closed on option C ('More than 6.60 but less than 6.80') with a closing date of 9/30 2016. The closing on 30 September 2016 was 6.6718 (Bloomberg). Since the IMF announced that the renminbi would be added to its Special Drawing Rights, China's currency has weakened (Financial Times, NY Times, Diplomat). Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg. This question will be scored using the ordered categorial scoring rule. For more information, see the FAQ. Recommended Questions Will there be a lethal confrontation in the South or East China Sea region involving China's and another country's national military forces or law enforcement personnel before 1 January 2017? Will Turkey impose capital controls before 1 December 2016? Will negotiations on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) be completed in 2016?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 6.40 0%
Between 6.40 and 6.60, inclusive 1%
More than 6.60 but less than 6.80 99%
6.80 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 326
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1711
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.21163
2.
-0.187434
3.
-0.18617
4.
-0.183375
5.
-0.169364

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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