When will Ted Cruz drop out of the race for the Republican presidential nomination?
Started
Mar 18, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 04, 2016 01:00AM UTC
Closed May 04, 2016 01:00AM UTC
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The New York primary is scheduled for 19 April, the Nebraska primary is scheduled for 10 May, the California primary is scheduled for 7 June, and the Republican National Convention is scheduled to begin in 18 July. For more information on the candidates, the primary process, and the primary schedule see: Candidates, How the Presidential Primary Works, Schedule.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before the New York primary | 0% | |
After the New York primary but before the Nebraska primary | 0% | |
After the Nebraska primary but before the California primary | 0% | |
After the California primary but before the Republican National Convention begins | 1% | |
Not before the Republican National Convention | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 701 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1503 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |