Will a candidate included on the "List of Hope" or the "People's Expert's List" be elected as the next chairman of Iran's Assembly of Experts?

Started Apr 19, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 24, 2016 04:52PM UTC

The next chairman of Iran's Assembly of Experts will be selected in May 2016 (Al-Monitor, Middle East Eye). For more information on the "People's Expert's List" and the "List of Hope" see Iran primer. Recommended Questions Will any disputes over IAEA access to Iranian sites be referred to the Joint Commission before 1 July 2016? Will Keiko Fujimori win Peru's upcoming presidential election?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 90.00%
No 10.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 85
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 244
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.454983
2.
-1.454983
3.
-1.418411
4.
-1.15084
5.
-1.087314

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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