&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

Will Senator Richard Burr (R-NC) be re-elected this November?

Started Sep 30, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC

This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Senator Richard Burr won his bid for reelection on November 8. (NY Times) See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr is facing Democratic challenger Deborah Ross, a former state representative, in a close race with implications for which party will control the Senate after November (Real Clear Politics, Huffington Post). Republicans, including Senator Burr and Governor McCrory, are facing tough races in North Carolina (Washington Post 9/12/16, Washington Post 9/22/16). Recommended Questions Will North Carolina Governor Pat McCrory (R) be re-elected this November? Which presidential candidate will win North Carolina? Will Senator Ron Johnson (R-WI) be re-elected this November?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 66.50%
No 33.50%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 189
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 486
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.417874
2.
-0.381082
3.
-0.369213
4.
-0.339544
5.
-0.288185

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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