Observers of North Korean politics have speculated about various ways in which Kim's tenure might end abruptly, including military coup (The Daily Beast), assassination (The Telegraph), foreign intervention (The Week), or state collapse (Brookings Opinion). In the event that Kim reportedly disappears or flees the capital, Good Judgment will observe a three-week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Kim returns in the interim, the question will remain open. Recommended Questions Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan cease to be President of Turkey before 1 August 2017?

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Kim Jong-un remains the supreme leader of North Korea. This question closed as "Not before 1 October 2017," with and end date of 1 October 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

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