Will both houses of Congress pass legislation lifting or relaxing the oil-export ban before 1 April 2016?

Started Sep 14, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 18, 2015 04:00PM UTC

The 1973 Arab oil embargo led Congress to ban crude oil exports under nearly all circumstances; opening the U.S. oil industry to exports, analysts argue, would be a net positive for the U.S. economy (http://www.wsj.com/articles/move-to-allow-u-s-oil-exports-accelerates-1439143950 ).
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 75.00%
No 25.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 241
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 755
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.251
3.
-0.244
4.
-0.239

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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