Will there be a dissolution or suspension of the Northern Irish Assembly before the end of the year?

Started Sep 21, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2015 11:00PM UTC

The political crisis in Northern Ireland threatens the power-sharing agreement between the Democratic Unionists and Sinn Fein (http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/northern-irelands-political-crisis-the-assembly-has-delivered-little-so-far-but-most-unionists-and-republicans-want-it-to-survive-10497317.html , http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-34217875 , http://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/governments-look-to-monday-talks-to-resolve-north-crisis-1.2348462 ).
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 244
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 615
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.012
3.
-0.01
4.
-0.01
5.
-0.01

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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