Many migrants and refugees are still making the dangerous trip across the Mediterranean to Europe (Washington Post, World Health Organization Europe). This question will be resolved using the data available on (UNHCR's Emergency Response Page for the Mediterranean). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2017 and will be scored based on the data available on 31 January 2018. _{Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.}

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_{If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether Bashar al-Assad will cease to be President of Syria before 1 March 2017 or on whether the French Army or Foreign Legion will deploy combat troops to fight the Islamic State on the ground in Syria or Iraq..}

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172,301 refugees and migrants arrived in Europe by sea in 2017. This question was closed as "b) Between 100,000 and 300,000, inclusive" with an end date of 1 January 2018. _{See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.}