The CFA Society Los Angeles asks

What will be the end-of-day closing value for the euro against the U.S. dollar on 15 February 2018?

Started Feb 16, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 15, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Some worry the value of the dollar may fall in coming months as the Trump administration focuses on restructuring trade agreements (Reuters). Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on the likelyhood of a state soda tax or on the U.S withdrawing from NAFTA.
The end-of-day closing value for the euro against the U.S. dollar on 15 February 2018 was $1.25. This question closed as "e) More than $1.20 with an end date of 15 February 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $0.90 0%
Between $0.90 and $1.00, inclusive 0%
More than $1.00 but less than $1.10 0%
Between $1.10 and $1.20, inclusive 5%
More than $1.20 95%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 567
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 2089
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.657
2.
-0.65
3.
-0.595
4.
-0.541
5.
-0.458

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username