Will an unmanned aerial vehicle be used by a non-governmental or intra-governmental organization to deliver humanitarian aid to a conflict zone in 2017?

Started Feb 21, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

The use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to deliver relief in humanitarian crises is the object of increasing attention, including several ongoing initiatives (Swiss Foundation for Mine Action, Handy Shipping Guide, The National, CNBC Africa). Humanitarian aid delivery to conflict zones has been impeded in places like Syria (Al Jazeera, The Guardian), Ukraine (BBC, Amnesty International), Burma (Time Magazine, Human Rights Watch), and South Sudan (NPR, US News). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
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An unmanned aerial vehicle was not used by a non-governmental or intra-governmental organization to deliver humanitarian aid to a conflict zone in 2017. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 251
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1017
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.37
2.
-1.358
3.
-1.353
4.
-1.33
5.
-1.295

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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