The CFA Society Los Angeles asks

What will be the end-of-day spot price of an ounce of gold on 29 September 2017?

Started Feb 24, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 29, 2017 06:59AM UTC

Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg). If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on what will be the closing spot price for Brent crude oil on 29 December 2017 or on whether the Federal Open Market Committee will decide to raise the interest rate on excess reserve balances at or before its scheduled September 2017 meeting.
On 29 September, the closing spot price of gold was 1279.75 p/oz (Bloomberg). This question closed with an answer of "More than $1200.00 but less than $1300.00", and an end date of 29 September 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $1,100 0%
Between $1,100 and $1,200, inclusive 0%
More than $1,200 but less than $1,300 59%
Between $1,300 and $1,400, inclusive 41%
More than $1,400 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 379
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1414
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.127
2.
-0.112
3.
-0.111
4.
-0.11
5.
-0.101

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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