Before 1 July 2017, will China fire a missile that lands within 50 nautical miles of Taiwan?
Started
Mar 07, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
In the 1995-96 Taiwan Straits crises, China test-fired missiles in the Taiwan Strait (NY Times).
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Recommended Questions: - When will China next deploy a deep sea oil rig in another country's exclusive economic zone (EEZ) without that country's permission? - Will India and Pakistan both attend a South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) summit before 1 January 2018? - Will the Philippines participate in the 2017 Balikatan military exercise? There is no evidence that China has fired a missile landing with 50nm of Taiwan. This question was closed as "b) no" with an end date of 30 June 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Recommended Questions: - When will China next deploy a deep sea oil rig in another country's exclusive economic zone (EEZ) without that country's permission? - Will India and Pakistan both attend a South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) summit before 1 January 2018? - Will the Philippines participate in the 2017 Balikatan military exercise? There is no evidence that China has fired a missile landing with 50nm of Taiwan. This question was closed as "b) no" with an end date of 30 June 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 202 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 588 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |
