The Economist asks

From March through August 2017, how many months will see Macau's monthly gross gaming revenues exceeding 2016 monthly revenues by 10% or more?

Started Mar 21, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
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March through August gross revenues exceeded 2016 revenues by 10% or more. This question closed with an answer of "d) all 6 months", with and end date of 1 September 2017. (Macau Gaming Inspection and Co-ordination Bureau) Gaming revenues fell precipitously in 2014 and 2015 as President Xi Jinping's anti-graft campaign deterred Chinese high-rollers from flaunting their wealth in Macau's casinos, but have started to climb again (The Economist, Bloomberg, Business Times). The question will be resolved according to official data provided by the Macau Gaming Inspection and Co-ordination Bureau here. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0-1 months 0%
2-3 months 0%
4-5 months 1%
All 6 months 99%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 189
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 469
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

3.
-0.512
4.
-0.488
5.
-0.469

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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