Will the UN declare a famine in any part of Nigeria in 2017?

Started Apr 11, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

In February 2017, the UN declared that parts of South Sudan were experiencing a famine (Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN, Voa News, Integrated Food Security Phase Classification),and other countries in Africa, including Nigeria, are facing the possibility of famine in the near future (NY Times, BBC,Famine Early Warning Systems Network, Famine Early Warning Systems Network). For general information on how famines are declared, see: WUTC.org. Both the declaration and the famine need to occur in 2017. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
The UN did not declare a famine in any part of Nigeria in 2017. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 202
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1293
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.142614
2.
-1.089901
3.
-1.051397
4.
-1.033538
5.
-1.032875

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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