The Monkey Cage asks
Will the U.S. federal debt ceiling be raised or suspended before 1 December 2017?
Started
Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 08, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Sep 08, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
The U.S. debt ceiling has been raised. This question closed as "Yes", with an end date of 8 September 2017.
On 15 March 2017, the U.S. government's suspension of the debt limit expired (USA Today). Since then, the U.S. Treasury has undertaken "extraordinary measures" to prevent default (CNBC). The Congressional Budget Office estimates that these measures will enable the Treasury to service U.S. debt into the fall (CBO).
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 99.00% | |
No | 1.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 374 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 836 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |