The Monkey Cage asks
How many removals will U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement conduct in fiscal year 2017?
Started
Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2017 05:00PM UTC
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During his campaign, President-elect Trump vowed to deport millions of unauthorized immigrants (USA Today, Donald J. Trump for President, Inc., Washington Post). U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) tracks removals for each fiscal year (U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement); in the 2016 fiscal year, they conducted 240,255 (ICE). The government's 2017 fiscal year runs from 1 October 2016 through 30 September 2017. The question will be suspended on 30 September 2017 and closed when ICE releases its data, typically in December.
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U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement conducted 226,119 removals in FY17 (U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement). This question closed as "Less than 250,000." See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement conducted 226,119 removals in FY17 (U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement). This question closed as "Less than 250,000." See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 250,000 | 34% | |
| Between 250,000 and 500,000, inclusive | 46% | |
| More than 500,000 but less than 1 million | 17% | |
| Between 1 million and 2 million, inclusive | 3% | |
| More than 2 million | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 347 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 922 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
