Before 1 October 2018, will the UN Security Council pass a resolution imposing an arms embargo on South Sudan?
Started
May 09, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 13, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 13, 2018 05:00PM UTC
A non-mandatory embargo will not count. With warnings of ethnic cleansing and war-induced famine, the US and others have been pushing for an arms embargo (ECR, Aljazeera, NY Times). Examples of mandatory arms embargoes imposed by the UNSC include the Central African Republic in 2013 (Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)), Yemen in 2015 (SIPRI), and Libya in 2011 (SIPRI).
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The UN imposed an arms embargo on South Sudan. This question closed as "yes" with an end date of 13 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
The UN imposed an arms embargo on South Sudan. This question closed as "yes" with an end date of 13 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 10.00% | |
No | 90.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 220 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
Number of Forecasts | 673 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |