Between 12 May 2017 and 1 July 2018, will two or more states ratify the Equal Rights Amendment?

Started May 12, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2018 06:59AM UTC

The Equal Rights Amendment (ERA) passed Congress in 1972 but fell three states short of the required 38 state legislature ratifications. On 22 March 2017, Nevada ratified the ERA, reinvigorating activists who are seeking to secure ratification by two additional legislatures (NPR, The Daily Express, Chicago Sun Times). States which have not ratified the ERA include AL, AZ, AR, FL, GA, IL, LA, MS, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, and VA. Clarification: The closing date has been updated to 30 June 2018 to match the end date referenced in the question.
Between 12 May 2017 and 1 July 2018 only Illinois ratified the Equal Rights Amendment. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2.00%
No 98.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 581
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1533
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.018
2.
-0.018
3.
-0.018
4.
-0.018
5.
-0.017

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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