The Economist asks
When will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela?
Started
Jun 06, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
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Maduro faces a political crisis in Venezuela (Reuters, Washington Post). In the event that Maduro reportedly disappears or flees the capital, a three-week waiting period will be observed, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Maduro returns in the interim, the question will remain open.
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Nicolas Maduro remains president of Venezuela. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Nicolas Maduro remains president of Venezuela. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 1 October 2017 | 0% | |
Between 1 October 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive, | 0% | |
Between 1 January 2018 and 31 March 2018, inclusive, | 0% | |
Between 1 April 2018 and 30 June 2018 | 1% | |
Not before 1 July 2018 | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 811 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 2308 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |