Before 1 January 2018, will the Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) exceed 30?

Started Jun 13, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2017 07:59AM UTC

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is a measure of the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options. Outcome will be determined based on the reported intraday values calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Recommended Questions: What will be the official U.S. civilian unemployment rate for the month of July 2017? Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) did not exceed 30. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.50%
No 99.50%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 265
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 937
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.024
2.
-0.024
3.
-0.024
4.
-0.024
5.
-0.024

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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