Will the IAEA verify that Iran's uranium stockpile has been reduced to less than 300 kg of low-enriched uranium before 1 June 2016?
Started
Oct 02, 2015 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 16, 2016 08:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 16, 2016 08:00PM UTC
As part of the nuclear deal, Iran agreed to reduce its uranium stockpile to less than 300 kg of 3.67% enriched uranium (http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2015/04/240170.htm , http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-33521655 , https://medium.com/the-iran-deal/joint-comprehensive-plan-of-action-5cdd9b320fd ). The IAEA must verify compliance with this aspect of the deal prior to "Implementation Day." For more information on the timeline of the agreement see: https://news.riskadvisory.net/2015/16/iran-summary-of-nuclear-deal-timeline-and-sanctions-relief/ , http://csis.org/ppp/index.htm .
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 82.00% | |
No | 18.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 499 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1063 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |