Will the IAEA verify that Iran's uranium stockpile has been reduced to less than 300 kg of low-enriched uranium before 1 June 2016?

Started Oct 02, 2015 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 16, 2016 08:00PM UTC

As part of the nuclear deal, Iran agreed to reduce its uranium stockpile to less than 300 kg of 3.67% enriched uranium (http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2015/04/240170.htm , http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-33521655 , https://medium.com/the-iran-deal/joint-comprehensive-plan-of-action-5cdd9b320fd ). The IAEA must verify compliance with this aspect of the deal prior to "Implementation Day." For more information on the timeline of the agreement see: https://news.riskadvisory.net/2015/16/iran-summary-of-nuclear-deal-timeline-and-sanctions-relief/ , http://csis.org/ppp/index.htm .
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 82.00%
No 18.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

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Number of Forecasters 499
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1063
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

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1.
-0.103
2.
-0.103
3.
-0.102
4.
-0.101
5.
-0.101

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