How many land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) will North Korea launch between 14 July 2017 and 31 December 2018?

Started Jul 14, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC

North Korea's missile program is a cause of concern for mutiple actors in the region and beyond, particularly regarding the development of ICBM capabilities (38 North, Washington Post, NPR). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "2-3" with an end date of 1 January 2019. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0 0%
1 0%
2-3 100%
4-5 0%
6 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 752
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 2592
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.216
4.
-0.205

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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