On 30 March 2018, what will be the U.S. federal prison population?
Started
Jul 14, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 31, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Mar 31, 2018 06:59AM UTC
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Attorney General Jeff Sessions has directed federal prosecutors to pursue the most severe penalties possible (Washington Post, Washington Post, CNN). Outcome will be determined by data from the Federal Bureau of Prisons found here. Question will be suspended on 30 March 2018 and closed when the data for 30 March is released, typically one week later.
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This question closed as "b) 180,001 to 185,000" with an end date of 31 March 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "b) 180,001 to 185,000" with an end date of 31 March 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 180,000 or less | 0% | |
| 180,001 to 185,000 | 99% | |
| 185,001 to 190,000 | 1% | |
| 190,001 to 195,000 | 0% | |
| over 195,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 328 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1117 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
