When will it be announced that Qatar is withdrawing from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)?

Started Jul 18, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Tensions between Qatar and other GCC states have come to a head, with a number of GCC members breaking off diplomatic relations (Huffington Post, The Atlantic, CSIS, CNN, Washington Post). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Recommended Questions Before 1 November 2017, will the US impose economic sanctions on Iran for activities related to a nuclear program? Will negotiations on a China-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) free trade agreement be completed before 1 October 2017?
There was no announcement Qatar is withdrawing from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). This question closed as "Not before 1 January 2018" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 October 2017 0%
Between 1 October 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive 0%
Not before 1 January 2018 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 204
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 602
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.016
2.
-0.014
3.
-0.014
4.
-0.014
5.
-0.013

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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