The Mack Institute asks
Before 1 July 2018, how many Model 3 cars will Tesla deliver to customers?
Started
Jul 21, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Tesla’s new Model 3, its most affordable car model, is targeted at the mass market (Tesla, Fortune). With more than 400,000 Model 3 reservations on the books, Tesla aims to ramp up production quickly, with a stated goal of delivering 100,000-200,000 Model 3s in the second half of 2017 (Teslarati).
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"We have now delivered 28,386 Model 3 vehicles to date." This question closed as "less than 50,000" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
"We have now delivered 28,386 Model 3 vehicles to date." This question closed as "less than 50,000" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 50,000 | 95% | |
More than 50,000 but less than 100,000 | 5% | |
Between 100,000 and 200,000 inclusive | 0% | |
More than 200,000 but less than 300,000 | 0% | |
300,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 518 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1312 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |