The Mack Institute asks
Between 21 July 2017 and 20 July 2018, will any major automaker announce a date after which they will sell only electric or hybrid vehicles?
Started
Jul 21, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 20, 2018 04:00AM UTC
Closed Jul 20, 2018 04:00AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
For the purposes of this question, "major automakers" are any of the car brands or whole car companies identified in this infographic. Volvo recently announced that starting in 2019 all new models it produces will be electric or hybrid (Volvo, Forbes). Announcements that only apply to a certain market segment or geographic location will not count.
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Question clarification
Issued on 12/27/17 03:31pm
The more info section incorrectly implies Volvo announced it would only sell electric and hybrid vehicles after 2019. The following correction to the original 'more information' section has been made: Volvo recently announced that starting in 2019 all new models it produces will be electric or hybrid (Volvo, Forbes). Please note that this change does not affect the forecasting question, which is still about whether a major automaker announces a date after which they will sell only electric or hybrid vehicles.
The more info section incorrectly implies Volvo announced it would only sell electric and hybrid vehicles after 2019. The following correction to the original 'more information' section has been made: Volvo recently announced that starting in 2019 all new models it produces will be electric or hybrid (Volvo, Forbes). Please note that this change does not affect the forecasting question, which is still about whether a major automaker announces a date after which they will sell only electric or hybrid vehicles.
Resolution Notes
This question closed as "no" with an end date of 20 July 2018.
https://electrek.co/2018/04/09/porsche-ceo-only-electric-vehicles-2030/
https://qz.com/1329712/why-the-world-is-so-excited-about-electric-cars-in-charts/
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 3.00% | |
No | 97.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 593 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1243 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |