When will Nasser Zefzafi be released from prison?

Started Aug 01, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

The arrest of Nasser Zefzafi has become a flashpoint of recent protests in Morocco's Rif (Aljazeera, The Economist, Daily Star). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Nasser Zefzafi was not released from prison. This question closed as "Not before January 2018" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 October 2017 0%
Between 1 October 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive 0%
Not before 1 January 2018 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 97
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 413
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.013
2.
-0.013
3.
-0.009
4.
-0.009
5.
-0.009

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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