Between 8 August 2017 and 7 August 2018, how many governments, from among Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, will have their long term issuer rating downgraded by S&P, Moody's, or Fitch?

Started Aug 08, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 07, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Recent macroeconomic developments have raised concerns regarding the debt profile of several GCC countries (Reuters, Reuters, Reuters, Gulf News, Bloomberg). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Bahrain, Qatar, and Oman each had their long term issuer rating downgraded. This question closed as "3" with an end date of 7 August 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0 0%
1 0%
2 0%
3 100%
4 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 246
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 974
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.517
3.
-0.466
4.
-0.461
5.
-0.45

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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