Who will be elected governor of Virginia in November 2017?
Started
Aug 11, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2017 07:59AM UTC
The Virginia gubernatorial race will take place on 7 November 2017. The campaign has drawn national attention and money, with both Democrats and Republicans viewing the contest as a referendum on President Trump (The Washington Post, The Washington Post, The Hill).
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Ralph Northam (Democrat) won Virgina's gubernatorial race by a margin greater than 5% (Real Clear Politics). This question closed as "a) Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%," with an end date of 8 November 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Ralph Northam (Democrat) won Virgina's gubernatorial race by a margin greater than 5% (Real Clear Politics). This question closed as "a) Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5%," with an end date of 8 November 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin greater than 5% | 18% | |
Ralph Northam (Democrat) by a margin of 5% or less | 58% | |
Ed Gillespie (Republican) by a margin of 5% or less | 24% | |
Ed Gillespie (Republican) by a margin greater than 5% | 0% | |
None of the above | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 299 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 658 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |