Before 1 July 2018, will Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte proclaim martial law nationwide?

Started Aug 15, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte recently proclaimed martial law in Mindanao and nearby islands (Financial Times, The Diplomat), and has considered nationwide martial law (Aljazeera, Vocativ). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2.00%
No 98.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 304
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1143
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.051916
3.
-0.051756
4.
-0.051495
5.
-0.051352

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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