How many high school students will play eleven-player football in the 2017/18 season?
Started
Sep 01, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
A recently published study on chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) found traces of the degenerative brain disease not only in former NFL players, but in college and high school football players as well (The Journal of the American Medical Association, NY Times, ESPN). Eleven-player football enrollment declined by approximately 23K players from the 2015-16 season to the 2016-17 season. Outcome will be determined using data provided by the National Federation of State High School Associations (NFHS) for the 2017-18 season.
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This question closed as "Between 1,030,000 and 1,040,000, inclusive" with an end date of 24 August 2018. According to the NFHS 1,038,179 students participated in eleven-player football in the 2017/18 season. (NFHS) See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "Between 1,030,000 and 1,040,000, inclusive" with an end date of 24 August 2018. According to the NFHS 1,038,179 students participated in eleven-player football in the 2017/18 season. (NFHS) See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 1,030,000 | 8% | |
Between 1,030,000 and 1,040,000, inclusive | 31% | |
More than 1,040,000 but less than 1,050,000 | 46% | |
Between 1,050,000 and 1,060,000, inclusive | 15% | |
More than 1,060,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 246 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 485 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |