Will any disputes over IAEA access to Iranian sites be referred to the Joint Commission before 1 July 2018?

Started Sep 12, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2018 06:59AM UTC

The Iranian nuclear deal established a Joint Commission to adjudicate disputes between the IAEA and Iran over access to undeclared nuclear facilities (Iran Watch). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. No disputes over IAEA access to Iranian were referred to the Joint Commission. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 249
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 961
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.028
2.
-0.028
5.
-0.028

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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