Will the US Justice Department file criminal charges against Volkswagen or any of its employees before 30 March 2016?

Started Oct 19, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 29, 2016 09:00PM UTC

If the Justice Department does pursue a criminal case, it would be the first-ever against an auto maker for skirting emissions standards (Wall Street Journal). 10/22/2015: The question stem was modified from "pursue a criminal case" to "file criminal charges."
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 5.00%
No 95.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1017
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1948
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.121
3.
-0.12
4.
-0.119
5.
-0.118

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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