HFC asks

What will the closing price of gold be on 31October 2017 in USD?

Started Oct 11, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 31, 2017 03:59AM UTC
Challenges

This question will be resolved using the last daily London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) Gold Price USD (PM). (LBMA - http://www.lbma.org.uk/pricing-and-statistics) for the date of interest. The relevant data is available by selecting 'Table' and referring to the 'PM' column under 'USD.' Question will be suspended on the day before the date of interest and resolved the day after the date of interest.
Resolution Notes

Actual value: 1270.15
http://www.lbma.org.uk/pricing-and-statistics

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1229.85 0%
Between 1229.85 and 1268.42, inclusive 14%
More than 1268.42 but less than 1301.63 86%
Between 1301.63 and 1340.19, inclusive 0%
More than 1340.19 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 149
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 419
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.106
2.
-0.101
4.
-0.077
5.
-0.065

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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