HFC asks

What will the daily closing price of France's CAC 40 (INDEXEURO: PX1) be on 31 October 2017?

Started Oct 18, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 31, 2017 03:59AM UTC
Challenges

This question will be resolved using the daily closing price of the market of interest reported by Google Finance . Question will be suspended the day before the date of interest and resolved the day after the date of interest.
Resolution Notes

Actual value: 5,507.14
https://finance.google.com/finance?q=INDEXEURO%3APX1&ei=7RL6WeHOBdDCe_Chl6gI

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 5,173.00 0%
Between 5,173.00 and 5,278.00, inclusive 0%
More than 5,278.00 but less than 5,369.00 0%
Between 5,369.00 and 5,474.00, inclusive 10%
More than 5,474.00 90%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 71
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 225
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.427
2.
-0.236
3.
-0.232
4.
-0.229
5.
-0.209

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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