The Mack Institute asks
Before 1 July 2018, will Tesla announce that it will build a factory to manufacture electric vehicles in China?
Started
Oct 20, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
In its quest for global growth, Tesla is looking to expand its manufacturing capacity. There is speculation that it might build a new factory in China, but China's requirements for foreign automakers partnering with Chinese companies may prove an obstacle (Bloomberg, Electrek). An announcement by Tesla regarding a factory that only manufactures component parts of an electric vehicle will not count (e.g. Electrek).
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This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, manufacturing without a Chinese partner | 3% | |
Yes, manufacturing with a Chinese partner | 5% | |
No | 92% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 520 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 947 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |