HFC asks
Between 25 October and 31 December 2017, will North Korea launch an SLBM?
Started
Oct 25, 2017 05:15PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 04:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 04:59AM UTC
Challenges
North Korea's submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) program is continuing to advance (Reuters, The Telegraph, The Diplomat). The launch must be conducted from a submarine. Barge tests and land based tests of SLBMs won't count.
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North Korea did not launch an SLBM between 25 October and 31 December 2017. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
North Korea did not launch an SLBM between 25 October and 31 December 2017. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 1.00% | |
No | 99.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 377 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 753 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |