When will a member of China's Politburo Standing Committee visit North Korea?

Started Oct 24, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 08, 2018 05:00PM UTC

Disputes over North Korea's nuclear and missile program have strained the relationship between the two allies (Council on Foreign Relations). The last high-level Chinese visit to Pyongyang was made by a member of the Politburo Standing Committee in 2015 (Bloomberg, Beyond Parallel). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
A member of the Chinese Politburo Standing Committee has visited NK. This question closed as "Between 1 August 2018 and 31 October 2018, inclusive" with an end date of 8 September 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 February 2018 0%
Between 1 February 2018 and 30 April 2018, inclusive 0%
Between 1 May 2018 and 31 July 2018, inclusive 0%
Between 1 August 2018 and 31 October 2018, inclusive 25%
Not before 1 November 2018 75%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 361
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1193
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.243
4.
-0.208

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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