When will a member of China's Politburo Standing Committee visit North Korea?
Started
Oct 24, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 08, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 08, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Disputes over North Korea's nuclear and missile program have strained the relationship between the two allies (Council on Foreign Relations). The last high-level Chinese visit to Pyongyang was made by a member of the Politburo Standing Committee in 2015 (Bloomberg, Beyond Parallel).
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A member of the Chinese Politburo Standing Committee has visited NK. This question closed as "Between 1 August 2018 and 31 October 2018, inclusive" with an end date of 8 September 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
A member of the Chinese Politburo Standing Committee has visited NK. This question closed as "Between 1 August 2018 and 31 October 2018, inclusive" with an end date of 8 September 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 1 February 2018 | 0% | |
Between 1 February 2018 and 30 April 2018, inclusive | 0% | |
Between 1 May 2018 and 31 July 2018, inclusive | 0% | |
Between 1 August 2018 and 31 October 2018, inclusive | 25% | |
Not before 1 November 2018 | 75% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 361 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1193 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |