SCOTUSblog asks

In Masterpiece Cakeshop, Ltd. v. Colorado Civil Rights Commission, will the Supreme Court rule that the application of a Colorado anti-discrimination law to compel Jack Phillips to make a cake for a same-sex wedding violates any of his First Amendment rights?

Started Nov 03, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 04, 2018 05:00PM UTC

In 2015, the Colorado Court of Appeals ruled that Jack Phillips, owner of Masterpiece Cakeshop, Ltd, violated the Colorado Anti-Discrimination Act by refusing to make a cake for the wedding of a local gay couple. Phillips refused because of his religious beliefs regarding same-sex marriage. The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
The Supreme Court did rule that the application of a Colorado anti-discrimination law to compel Jack Phillips to make a cake for a same-sex wedding violated his First Amendment rights. This question closed a "a) Yes" with an end date of 4 June 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 55.00%
No 45.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 431
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 696
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.499
2.
-0.499
3.
-0.494
4.
-0.486
5.
-0.481

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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