The Economist asks
Will there be a new prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 October 2018?
Started
Nov 21, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Prime Minister Theresa May faces a number of leadership challenges as she navigates Brexit (Bloomberg, Evening Standard).
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This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, someone from the Conservative Party | 1% | |
Yes, someone from the Labour Party | 0% | |
Yes, someone from a party other than the Labour or Conservative Parties | 0% | |
No | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 947 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1815 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |