The Economist asks

When will Saudi Arabia announce the reopening of its land border with Qatar?

Started Nov 21, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2018 05:00PM UTC

Temporary reopenings will not suffice (e.g., The Guardian). On 5 June 2017, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and the UAE cut diplomatic relations with Qatar, embargoing goods, closing borders, and requiring Qatari citizens to leave their countries (BBC, The Cipher Brief). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question closed as "Not before 1 August 2018" with an end date of 1 August 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 February 2018 0%
Between 1 February and 30 April 2018, inclusive 0%
Between 1 May and 31 July 2018, inclusive 2%
Not before 1 August 2018 98%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 599
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 1316
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.036
2.
-0.036
3.
-0.036
4.
-0.036
5.
-0.036

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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