Will either the Palestinian Authority or Israel announce a halt in security cooperation before 1 July 2016?

Started Nov 10, 2015 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2016 06:59AM UTC

This question resolved on 30 June 2016: Security cooperation remains in place (Hareetz, CNN, Al Jazeera). In 2016, crises elsewhere in the Middle East will distract from the Palestinian question, which smoulders on (The World in 2016). The formal security cooperation between Israel and the Palestinian Authority (PA) established by the Oslo Accords has only been suspended once, during the second intifada (Al-Monitor). Although escalating violence has heightened concerns about a new intifada and the Palestinian Liberation Organization attempted to halt cooperation in the spring of 2015, security cooperation between the PA and Israel has continued (NY Times, BBC, Al-Monitor, Washington Institute ). Recommended Questions Will Syria hold UN-backed elections before 1 January 2018? Will the government of Colombia and the FARC sign a final peace agreement before 1 May 2016?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 409
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 1393
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.026
2.
-0.026
3.
-0.026
5.
-0.025

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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