HFC asks

Between 29 November 2017 and 29 December 2017, will Libya's Sharara oil field experience a production shutdown?

Started Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 29, 2017 04:59AM UTC

Libya's Sharara oil field, the country's largest, has been beset by production shutdowns (Al Arabiya, Reuters, Bloomberg). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Libya's Sharara oil field did not experience a production shutdown between 29 November and 29 December 2017. This question closed as "no" with and end date of 30 December 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 86
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 146
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.077797
2.
-0.077797
3.
-0.067577
4.
-0.056023
5.
-0.047171

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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