HFC asks

What will be the approval rate for Japan's cabinet in NHK's monthly survey in December 2017?

Started Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 11, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Tags

This question will be resolved using the approval rate reported for the time of interest on Nippon Hōsō Kyōkai (NHK)'s website. The cabinet approval rate is reported as 支持する ("Support to”) in the first table 内閣:安倍内閣 (“Cabinet: Abe Cabinet”) on that page. The question will be resolved using Google Translate services. Months are indicated by their corresponding number (e.g. 1月 = January). If NHK conducts more than one survey in a month, question resolution will be based on the first set of results posted.  Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Resolution Notes

Answer is 49 per the most recent survey. According the home page the survey was published on December 11, 2017. The survey was conducted from December 8th - 10th.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 41 0%
Between 41 and 44, inclusive 23%
More than 44 but less than 48 42%
Between 48 and 51, inclusive 29%
More than 51 6%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 69
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.244
2.
-0.231
4.
-0.199
5.
-0.196

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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