HFC asks

Will the new Zimbabwean government offer opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai or ex-Finance Minister Tendai Biti a position in the post-coup government cabinet before 31 December 2017?

Started Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2017 07:59PM UTC

Former Prime Minister Tsvangirai returned to Zimbabwe after President Mugabe was put under house arrest (BBC, Daily Express). Former Finance Minister Tendai Biti has discussed means of improving the economy under the new government (News 24). Question will resolve as "yes" if the new Zimbabwean government announces or confirms media reports that either Morgan Tsvangirai or Tendai Biti was offered a position in the new Zimbabwean cabinet. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 86
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 163
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.004
2.
-0.003
3.
-0.002
4.
0.0
5.
0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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